Z Politics

The Superdelegates

Even if Hillary Clinton were to win 100% of all the remaining contests she can’t reach 2,025 delegates. Barack Obama needs to win 75% to reach 2,025…So yes this will come down to the superdelegates. How will they need to break for each one of these people to become the nominee. First let’s say the last primaries go down like this…

Clinton wins Guam 60% to 40%

Obama wins Indiana 52% to 48%

Obama wins North Carolina 56% to 44%

Clinton wins West Virginia 60% to 40%

Clinton wins Kentucky 65% to 35%

Obama wins Oregon 56% to 44%

Obama wins Montana 56% to 44%

Obama wins South Dakota 56% to 44%

Clinton wins Puerto Rico 60% to 40%

These results all seem possible given recent polls…

If the last nine contest do down this way then Barack Obama will need 33% of the remaining unpledged superdelegates to get to 2,025, that’s right he will only need 33% of the superdelegates to put him over the top…What about Clinton? She will need 76% of the remaining  unpledged superdelegates. That’s a lot…She can do it but she has an uphill battle…again.