Can Clinton Pass Obama 3?

May 7, 2008 at 6:11 pm | In politics |
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It hasn’t been a good week for Hillary Clinton. After chipping away at Barack Obama’s lead in states like Ohio, Texas and Pennsylvania it looks like she’s running out of time and options.

There are only six contest remaining. Is it still possible for Hillary to pass Barack in delegates? Sure but it’s harder than it was 24 hours ago…According to my last analysis Hillary need to win Guam by 62% but she lost by .2%…She needed to win Indiana by 40% not 2% and she needed to win North Carolina 16% but she lost by 14%.

So now in order for Hillary to pass Barack the following needs to happen.

She wins West Virginia 86% to 14% (She’s going to win this state but it will be by about 30% not 62%)

She wins Kentucky 85% to 15% (She going to win this state by as much as 40% but not 60%)

She wins Oregon 73% to 27% (This is a tall order considering the last poll there had her down 12%)

She wins Montana 85% to 15% (Not going to happen the last poll I saw had Obama up by 6% here)

She wins South Dakota 70% to 30% (Nope latest poll has Obama up by 12%)

She wins Puerto Rico 86% to 14% (The “51st state” is the bigges prize left and Clinton will probobly win it but not by 62%)

If she pulled all this of she would be ahead by….1 delegate.

Is it possible? Sure. But it is also possible George W. Bush will resign before January. Possible but not even remotly likely.

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