Please god

August 28, 2008 at 6:30 am | Posted in politics | Leave a comment
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Today I watched Barack Obama officaly become the first African-American nominee of a major American political party. I was filled with so much pride in my country and how far we’ve come. But I know we have a long way to go. I teach in Watts. My students need something to believe in and something to hope for. I have a niece who is five days old I want her to live on a planet that isn’t doomed. I am a gay man in a loving relationship, I want my love to be recognized. Please god let Obama win. Please let this country move forward again.

Oh hell no!

August 23, 2008 at 3:44 am | Posted in politics | Leave a comment
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Barack Obama is set to announce his Vice-Presidential pick tomorrow.

It appears most likely that it is going to be Delaware Senator Joe Biden. However, today I have herd grumblings of a last minute surprise by the name of Chet Edwards. I had never heard of this man before. The world has been focused on the other Edwards and his shenanigans.

So who is Chet Edwards? He’s a congressman from Texas who is a Democrat. But he appears to be a DINO (Democrat in Name Only). He voted for the Iraq war. Okay so did Biden. (I also believe Obama would have caved in and voted for it if he had been a Senator in 2002 but we can never know that for sure)…But here is the kicker Chet Edwards voted for the Defense Of Marriage Act in 1996, the single biggest slap in the face to the LGBT community that occurred during the Clinton era. He also voted in favor of a constitutional amendment banning gay marriage in both 2004 and 2006.

As a gay man I find this deplorable. If Obama picks Edwards I will be hearbroken and angry. I will still vote for Obama in November, but my California vote for him really won’t mean much. But I WILL not volunteer or give any more money to his campaign. I can not support somebody who doesn’t support me.

John Edwards

August 9, 2008 at 12:26 am | Posted in politics | 1 Comment
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When John Edwards dropped out of the Democratic Primary contest less than a week before Super Tuesday I was lost and disappointed. I liked Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. However, I didn’t think this country was ready for a woman or an African-American to be President. Although it was not the most progressive viewpoint I thought the Democrats best chance to win the Presidency was to have a white southern at the top of the ticket (it worked for Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton the only Democratic Presidents in my lifetime). I also believed John Edward’s working class background would help.

I was wrong and I am so grateful I did not throw my vote away on him. Politicians have affairs all the time. We know that but don’t get caught. Especially when your wife has cancer! And certainly don’t her pregnant. What a stupid douche bag…I feel so bad for Elizabeth Edwards.

The democrats dogged the mother of all bullets here. The white house and possibly congress would be gone if he had won. So I’m glad it came down to the woman and the white guy because the white guy would have sunk the party.

Turning a red state blue

June 17, 2008 at 8:22 pm | Posted in politics | Leave a comment
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I am from Colorado. I love Colorado. Yet despite Roy Romer, Patricia Schroeder and Gary Hart Colorado has been a red state for almost  my entire life. 

Only in 1992 did Colorado turn from red to blue for Bill Clinton. In 1996 Bob Dole, who was from neighboring Kansas, turned Colorado back to red. In 2000 I was in college at The University of Colorado at Boulder. A friend of mine said I should vote for Ralph Nader because Al Gore had no chance of winning Colorado. I didn’t believe him so I voted for Al Gore anyway. I believed that if everybody who didn’t think Al Gore had a chance of winning Colorado voted for him he could win Colorado’s eight electoral votes. I was wrong. George W. Bush won Colorado comfortably.

In 2004 I was living in Los Angeles and canvassing for the Democratic National Committee. I swore to my co-workers that John Kerry could win Colorado. I was wrong again. But John Kerry did narrow the gap. Despite George W. bush keeping Colorado red in 2004 the state has been turning purple and even blue over the last six years. Before the election in 2004 the republicans controlled the state legislature, the governor was a republican, both senators were republicans and five of the seven congressional seats were held by republicans.

But today the democrats control the state legislature, the governorship, one senate seat and four out of the seven congressional seats. And after this November there is a possibility the other senate seat and an additional house seat will be held by a democrat. Not to mention the fat that Colorado hosts the Democratic National Convention this August and that Barack Obama has made Colorado the biggest target in his western state strategy.

What accounts for this political turn around? A big part of the credit has to be given to the Colorado Democratic Party. In 2004 when the republicans wiped the floor with the democrats Colorado was the one bright spot for the party. By getting the right candidates and focusing on issues like education and he environment the Colorado Democratic party has helped turn the state around.

But another factor is the fact that Colorado’s Latino population has increased greatly in the last ten years. This swing population has voted mainly with the democrats. A couple of years ago I was visiting a friend din Fort Collins (which is located in Northern Colorado close to the Wyoming border). I looked at the white people in their trucks whose lives involve the weekly bowling league and thought that even though I grew up among people like them I was no longer like them. I thought that it is the Latin population, of which my dad’s side of the family is part of, is what will save Colorado politically.

Another factor (if not the biggest one)is the influx of people from more liberal states (most notably California). They have brought their blue state values to a red state and helped move it forward.

But Colorado’s political progress has not come without a price. The new population has lead to urban sprawl and massive building in mountains. My great grandmother and mother, both life long democrats, bitch about George W. Bush and root for Barack Obama. Yet, they rail against the growth in Colorado. I think they don’t’ realize that the political progress in the state they have called home their entire lives is due to the very growth they don’t like.

You can’t have one without the other. If I had to choose between the read and undeveloped Colorado I grew up in or the blue developing Colorado I visit now. I have to go with the later. Progress comes at a price but it is ultimately worth hit.

So once again I will tell you people that Colorado can go blue this November. And even if I am wrong again there is no denying that the state has become more open and accepting of all people. And that in the end is the best thing about turning this red state blue.

2,118

June 1, 2008 at 3:50 am | Posted in politics | 2 Comments
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All the hoopla about the DNC rules committee is over. The magic number has been moved from 2,026 to 2,118. Hillary was able to cut into Barack’s lead. But just  like with Texas and Ohio, then Pennsylvania, then West Virginia and then Kentucky it wasn’t enough to make much of a difference.

The Puerto Rico primary is tomorrow, while South Dakota and Montana are on Tuesday.

But according to my latest caculations it is impossible for Hillary Clinton to reach 2,118. Let’s say the last three contests go down like this…

Clinton win Puerto Rico 58% to 42%

Obama wins Montana 56% to 44%

Obama wins South Dakota 53% to 47%

These results seem resonable enought given the latest polls.

If that happens Obama will only need 15% of the remaining upledged super delegates to become the nominee…Hillary can’t get to 2,118 even with 100% of the remaining unpledged super delegates. If the results go down like this Hillary will have 2,102.

If 2,118 is to be a possibility Hillary has to get 100% of the remaining super delegates and the results need to change to this.

Clinton wins Puerto Rico 79% to 21%

Clinton wins Montana 56% to 44%

Clinton wins South Dakota 65% to 35%

Florida and Michigan were supposed to save her. But here she is and she can’t afford to loose even one primary to Obama.

Game over

Without Michigan and Florida there is no way

May 28, 2008 at 1:53 am | Posted in politics | 1 Comment
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Another handful of super delegates have gone to Barack Obama over the last few days. Hillary Clinton has manged to squeeze out a few more as well, but not as many as Obama which means she has fallen further behind.

It is almost mathematically impossible to get to 2,026. Even with the super delegates. She needs the DNC rules committee to rule in her favor on the 31st when it comes to Michigan and Florida or it is game over a week from today.

Let’s say the last 3 contents go down like this…

Clinton wins Puerto Rico 62% to 28%

Obama wins South Dakota 56% to 44%

Obama wins Montana 52% to 48%

This results seem reasonable given the latest polls. If that happens Hillary Clinton will need….100% of the remaining 199 super delegates to get to 2,026. There literally is no room for error left and with her RFK comment alienating even some of her staunches supporters it really is over.

Barack Obama can win with white voters

May 21, 2008 at 5:29 pm | Posted in politics | Leave a comment
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I am so tired of hearing that Barack Obama can’t win over white voters. My fifty-four year old white mother voted for him for crying out loud.

Barack Obama has won 15 states that have less than a 5% African-American population.

Hawaii

Alaska

Washington

Oregon

Idaho

Utah

Colorado

Wyoming

North Dakota

Nebraska

Kansas

Minnesota

Iowa

Vermont

Maine

Of those states Hawaii, Washington, Oregon, Colorado, Minesota, Iowa and Maine are all possible swing states and add up to 52 electoral votes. Hillary Clinton says she can win the swing states but she certainly didn’t win those swing states.

The Superdelegates 4

May 21, 2008 at 5:22 pm | Posted in politics | Leave a comment
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So Kentucky and Oregon have come and gone.

What will it now take for either Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton to secure the democratic nomination for President.

Let’s presue the last three contests go down like this.

Clinton wins Puerto Rico-62% to 38%

Obama wins Montana-56% to 44%

Obama wins South Dakota-53% to 47%

Those results seem reasonable enough given recent polls.

If that happens than Barack Obama will need…12% of the remain superdelegates to secure the parties nominaton. Just 12%…Hillary Clinton on the other hand will need 95% of the remaining superdelegates. 95%!

Given how things have been going in the superdelegate category the last couple of months I find it almost impossible that Hillary Clinton can pull this thing off.

Can Clinton Pass Obama 5?

May 21, 2008 at 5:13 pm | Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment
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As expected Hillary Clinton won big time yesterday in Kentucky and Barack Obama won comfortably in Oregon. But the question must be asked. Can Hillary Clinton pass Barack Obama. The answer is…No. It is mathematically impossible for Hillary Clinton to pass Barack Obama based on pledged delegates alone.

According to my last analysis Hillary Clinton needed to win Kentucky by 80% not 35% and she needed to win Oregon by 70% not lose by 18%.

So even if Hillary Clinton wins 100% of the vote in Montana, South Dakota and Puerto Rico she will still be 99 delegates behind Barack Obama.

She will continue on. Why not there’s only two weeks left. But the numbers don’t lie.

Mission: Impossible

May 20, 2008 at 3:48 am | Posted in politics | Leave a comment
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Tomorrow Barack Obama will win the Oregon primary and Hillary Clinton will win the Kentucky primary. Hillary Clinton will vow to fight on but with two more super delegates going to Obama today she is offically fighting an impossible battle.

It is now mathmaticaly impossible for Hillary Clinton to pass Barack Obama without the help of the remaining unpledged super delegates. Even if Hillary Clinton wins 100% of the vote in Kentucky, Oregon, Montana, South Dakota and Puerto Rico she will still be 2 delegates behind Barack Obama.

Yet she still claims she can do it.

Hillary just drop out. It’s painful watching a woman I once admired making such a fool of herself.

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